[Rhodes22-list] Rhodes list//WIND

Leland LKUHN at cnmc.org
Sun Apr 5 18:50:47 EDT 2009


Tom,

Did I say The Weather Channel was accurate?

Yesterday it said that winds would be about 7 mph from noon to four today. 
This morning it predicted 10 to 12 mph for the same time.  Actual wind was
less than 4 knots from 11 to 1, and then picked up to about 8 knots from 1
to 4.

No complaints though--it was beautiful.

Lee



Leland wrote:
> 
> Tom,
> 
> Some of you know my other sailing buddy Tom.  He took the most popular
> weather sites and combined them onto one site; with links taking you
> directly into hourly, daily, and weekly breakdowns.  I have it as a
> favorite on my work computer but not on my wife's computer here at home. 
> I'll try to remember to send it to everyone on Monday.
> 
> I think The Weather Channel is far more accurate for wind conditions than
> WeatherBug, and also consistently predicts less wind.  I think TWC updates
> more frequently which means the other weather conditions are probably more
> accurate too.  Wind is far less predictable than other weather, and a 5
> mph difference is significant on our light-wind boats.  Where you and I
> sail, land masses cause more wind speed fluctuations than inaccurate
> forecasts.
> 
> I'd be curious on the accuracy of extended forecasts.  I'd guess that
> 12-hour forecasts are more than 90% accurate, but after three days I
> wonder if it drops to less than 50%.  I don't trust meteorologists who
> tell me there's a 50% chance of anything.  Give me a 49% or 51%, or just
> be honest and tell me you don't know.
> 
> Lee
> 
> 
> 
> Tom Hogarty wrote:
>> 
>> Lee,
>> What is your most reliable source for weather/wind forecast?
>> Tom Hogarty
>> 
>> 
>> 
>> Leland wrote:
>>> 
>>> Caesar,
>>> 
>>> I have to honor some commitments too.  Number one commitment: if the
>>> weather is ideal, other commitments can wait.  Winds are 20-30 mph today
>>> with gusts to 40, so I guess I'll be doing yard work all day.  Tomorrow
>>> it's 7-8 mph and sunshine.  Right after Palm Sunday services I plan on
>>> having another spiritual experience underway.
>>> 
>>> Lee
>>> 1986 Rhodes22  At Ease
>>> Kent Island, MD
>>> 
>>> 
>>> 
>>> Caesarsailor wrote:
>>>> 
>>>> Hi Ellner,
>>>>  
>>>> It may be that all Rhodes sailors are busy getting their boats in ship
>>>> shape for the season.
>>>>  
>>>> I started my motor yesterday, but their is snow falling in my neck of
>>>> the woods.  We had a sprinkling this morning.  Sun is in the forcast
>>>> for the weekend, and as things unfold, I have to honor some
>>>> commitments.
>>>>  
>>>> Are you planning to sail over the weekend?
>>>>  
>>>> Caesar
>>>> 
>>>> --- On Fri, 4/3/09, Ellner <ellner at pressenter.com> wrote:
>>>> 
>>>> 
>>>> From: Ellner <ellner at pressenter.com>
>>>> Subject: [Rhodes22-list] Rhodes list
>>>> To: "The Rhodes 22 Email List" <rhodes22-list at rhodes22.org>
>>>> Date: Friday, April 3, 2009, 6:32 PM
>>>> 
>>>> 
>>>> I haven't seen any Rhodes 22 activity.  Is the list up or is it my new 
>>>> computer?
>>>> 
>>>> Thanks
>>>> Rod
>>>> __________________________________________________
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>>>> 
>>>> 
>>> 
>>> 
>> 
>> 
> 
> 

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