[Rhodes22-list]Politics: Another Fearless Prediction

[brad haslett]

Gentlemen,

Here's a link to the Federation of American Scientists
1991 analysis of Iraq's bio capability based on CIA
data.

http://www.fas.org/irp/gulf/cia/960705/73919_01.htm

Brad Haslett
"CoraShen"


--- Roger Pihlaja <cen09402 at centurytel.net> wrote:

> Bill,
> 
> Scott Rider's assertions to the contrary, consider
> this.  At the time Iraq
> developed & was using their chemical & biological
> weapons, they were the 4th
> largest military force in the world.  Iraq is mostly
> desert & all of Iraq's
> neighbors are mostly desert.  Thus, any battle
> scenario that the Iraq
> military could reasonably foresee, not matter
> whether it was defensive or
> offensive would involve desert warfare.  These are
> smart people being driven
> by a madman for whom failure was not an option. 
> Literally billions of
> dollars in resources were available to these
> programs.  When your family is
> being held hostage & your own life is in danger of
> imprisonment &/or torture
> if you don't succeed, I would imagine most folks
> would get right down to
> business & solve the biological, chemical,
> shelflife, & other technical
> problems of getting chemical & biological weapons to
> work in a desert combat
> scenario.  No one doubts that the United States &
> Russia know how to build
> biological and chemical weapons.  The chemical
> weapons disposal program in
> the US Army involved warheads that were something
> like 30+ years old & they
> were treated with due respect.  Why would anyone
> doubt that the Iraq
> military couldn't build a similarly robust, long
> shelf life weapon?
> Sometimes, you have to give the devil his due.
> 
> Roger Pihlaja
> S/V Dynamic Equilibrium
> 
> ----- Original Message -----
> From: "Bill Effros" <bill at effros.com>
> To: "The Rhodes 22 mail list"
> <rhodes22-list at rhodes22.org>
> Sent: Sunday, September 26, 2004 6:23 PM
> Subject: Re: [Rhodes22-list] Another Fearless
> Prediction
> 
> 
> > "If we find something, great, but professionally,
> > I don't see how these weapons could exist. They
> > defy the laws of industry, the laws of science and
> > technology.They have no shelf life."
> >
> > Scott Ridder
> > Former UN Inspector
> > April 18, 2003
> >
> >
> > ----- Original Message -----
> > From: Roger Pihlaja
> > To: The Rhodes 22 mail list
> > Sent: Sunday, September 26, 2004 3:34 PM
> > Subject: [Rhodes22-list] Another Fearless
> Prediction
> >
> >
> > Brad,
> >
> > Since your news story seems to have vindicated the
> prediction I made last
> summer regarding smuggling WMD's out of Iraq into
> Syria & Lebanon, let me
> make another fearless prediction.  By, the way Bill,
> you are mistaken
> regarding the shelf life & stability of chemical &
> biological weapons.  They
> are both plenty stable enough to be transported long
> distances over the
> desert.  If they weren't, they would never survive
> the heat & pressure of
> the explosive used to disperse them when the warhead
> goes off.  Anthrax, for
> example, is a bacteria that lives naturally in the
> soil by forming spores
> that are remarkably resistant to the environment. 
> So-called "weaponized"
> Anthrax is actually a mixture of spray dried Anthrax
> spores stuck to the
> surface of particles of an inert low density
> substrate such as finely ground
> cellulose.  The trick is to get the particle size
> distribution just right so
> the particles tend to get lofted into the air, float
> around on air currents
> for long distances, & eventually get inhaled by
> potential victims.  In the
> moist, warm conditions inside the respiratory tract,
> the Anthrax spores
> spring back to life & infect the victim.  Chemical
> weapons are usually of
> the so-called "binary" type wherein the warhead
> actually contains two
> compartments.  Each compartment contains a reactive
> precusor.  When the
> warhead is fired, the precursor chemicals are mixed
> together & chemically
> react to form the final toxin, such as a nerve
> agent.  Although the final
> toxin may have a short half life, each of the
> precursor chemicals is quite
> stable over long periods of time.
> >
> > I just heard a news story that the US State Dept
> has approved the sale of
> several hundred million dollars worth of
> "penetrating munitions" to Israel.
> Now what do you suppose Israel would want with a
> boatload of bunker busters?
> Unless Iran opens up its nuclear program to permit
> on-site inspections, I
> predict Israel will do a coordinated air assault to
> take out about a dozen
> key Iranian nuclear facilities all at the same time,
> in a scaled-up version
> of a similar operation they pulled on Iraq in 1985(I
> think that was the
> year?).  I predict this will happen in less than a
> year from now.  The
> United States will chastise Israel in public for
> this action; but, in
> private we will be thanking them for doing our dirty
> work for us.
> >
> > If the Iraqi WMD's really are in Syria &/or
> Lebanon, I hope we've captured
> them by then.  Or maybe the approval of this sale of
> penetrating munitions
> to Israel means they've already been secured by
> special forces or some other
> means?  The general public may never hear the full
> story on this one.
> >
> > Roger Pihlaja
> > S/V Dynamic Equilibrium
> > __________________________________________________
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> >
> >
> 
> 
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